Sliding and fragile Position

Israel's position on regional security arrangements

Security system in the Middle East, especially the Levant has never been stable over the past decades and has not provided backgrounds for suitable security of Israel. However, the instability and chaos caused by the developments of the last two years in the Arabic countries should be considered reasonless phenomena that as its result the position of the regime in security equations and arrangements in Middle East and Levant will seem more vague and slippery over the past. In this short note besides describing changing characteristics and dimensions of the security arrangements and order in the Levant, some affecting factors on the status of the state of Israel are discussed.

A look at the security arrangements of Levant

First of all, we shall say that areas can be categorized and distinguished based on several different criteria and indicators including geographical and geopolitical, economic or security factors. if according to some measures, several countries have considerable common points and special characteristics than other countries and systems, they form a separate regional system. In security studies, components related to the regional security have center but geometry regional security or related considerations may be changing according to the players of the series or what or which behavior of the players will be secured. So as Barry Buzan noted in the book "Powers and regions," the security in the region is what the players understand and make it.
Accordingly, the Levant region is a security system located in the heart of in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) that is adjacent to the systems of Persian Gulf, south of Europe and the Mediterranean, and the following players have role in it:
* Regional players: Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Israel.
* Players outside the region, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran.
* Trans-regional players: United States of America, Europe, Russia.
* Non-state players: the Palestinian Authority, groups attributed to Islamic resistance like Lebanon's Hezbollah, Islamic Jihad, Hamas and Fatah in Palestine.
From the beginning center of this area has been the formation of Israel in 1948. Constant wars of Israel by the neighboring Arab states in 1956, 1967, 1973 and 1982 and the refusal of the regime to accept the resolutions of the UN added the need to form an independent Palestinian state and the occupation of the Arabic neighboring countries on a range of regional conflicts. Even agreements of the David peace Camp and the return of Sinai to Egypt and approval with the establishment of the Palestinian Authority under the Oslo agreement also had little effect on reducing conflicts. At the same time, by reducing conflicts between the Arabic governments and Israel, non-state players of axis of resistance in Lebanon and occupied Palestine have continued fighting the occupation and have left a kind of successful record in the case of 33-day war in 1385, the 22 day war in 1388 and 8-day war in 1391.
The remarkable thing in this situation is the strengthening of the Islamic religious aspect of conflict with occupation and domination and fading its Arabic and nationalism dimensions. The other notable thing security arrangements Levant being influenced by deep and wide presence of major powers such as America, Russia and Europe as well as regional powers such as Iran, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. This is result of geopolitical and geo-economic characteristics of the area in addition to power, intensity and multiple layers of conflicts in the Levant which all are because of the existence, structure and political behavior of Israel.
In general, we shall first note balance of Qavamyan of two main affective currents in the axis of resistance and domination in explaining security arrangements in recent years in this area. In a conventional division, Iran, Syria and non-state players like Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas and Islamic Jihad are the axis of resistance. Opposing the occupation and supporting the idea of establishing a Palestinian state even through armed struggle and opposition to security arrangements of West can be mentioned as characteristics of the axis of resistance against axis of compromise that more or less has recognized the existence of the Zionist regime and insist on forming a Palestinian state based on UN security Council resolutions without resorting to arms in format of West-centric security arrangements. Egypt during the rule of Mubarak, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority and the Fatah movement acted in the form and were attacked by the major powers such as America.
also some states such as Turkey, Qatar and Iraq formed balance axis as a variable affecting factor until the outbreak of popular uprisings in the Arabic countries, and acted in the middle of the whole conventional resistance – domination area but as it will be discussed later, political changes in the Arab world and change of the power structure in Egypt, crisis of Syria, unrest in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Yemen changed the mentioned arrangements and therefore the security situation in Israel was also experiencing expansion and contraction.
Over the past two years, the Mubarak regime was overthrown as the only Arab state with a treaty agreement with the Zionist regime and it was replaced by a government of intellectual political current of Muslim Brotherhood that has a deep ideological and political bond with Palestinians resistance, especially Hamas. Saudi Arabia has experienced civil unrest and was involved in conflicts in neighboring countries, including Bahrain and Yemen. Jordan state also suffered internal challenges for two years. All this could actually change the balance of power in favor of axis and cause additional threats to the security of the Zionist regime.
However, this is not all developments in the Middle East. Apart from domestic factors, the continuation and escalation of the Syrian crisis can be known as reaction of to compromise axis to avoid disturbing the balance of power in favor of the resistance axis; by the Joint action of America, Europe Union, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Qatar and other Arabic countries, weakening or separation of Syria from the axis of resistance, in addition to creating a separation between Iran and Islamist groups in Lebanon and the Palestine, creating ideological fragmentation in the Alawite regime ruling Damascus with Sunni Hamas group and pro-opposition of al-Assad are also possible, and this means re-establishing equilibrium of Qavamyan of axis of resistance with axis of compromise. The main problem is still focused on the stability and security of the Zionist regime that competes regional governments such as Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia.