Sliding place of Tel Aviv in regional security arrangements

In analyzing the outcome of the ongoing competition of powers in the Levant we can say that to maintain a balance between the axis of resistance - compromise, the balance axis of Turkey and Qatar have been willing to compromise axis. However, even on the assumption that, if regime changes in Syria, thus weakening the resistance axis is still unlikely that based on the following reasons the arrangements in the system which is passing security of Levant will be in favor of the Zionist regime; first, Israel, America and other Arabic countries have no trust in combination of opposition to the Assad regime and particularly are afraid of influence and power of extremist forces of Selfie by creating chaos in the new Syria and thus continuation of instability and insecurity in the vicinity of the borders of Israel regime.
Second, even in the absence of Syrian support for Palestinian groups such as Hamas, the groups have found new support in Egypt, and with more confidence, as it was evident in the eight-day Gaza war, will fight against Israel.
The third point is continuation of the challenge and competition of states such as Turkey and Saudi Arabia with Israel that even for the use of Palestinian issue, will continue their support for parts of the groups and the Islamic Resistance and the Palestinians.
The fourth is about undermining America's position as the most important supporter of the Zionist regime in the Middle East and downgrade it to advance the political process aimed to maintain superiority of Israel regime than Arabic states. Failure of America and the Zionist regime in prevention of improving the position of the Palestinian Authority from the supervisory authority to the observer government without voting rights (including the Vatican) at the United Nations (eight negative votes against 138 positive votes in favor of Palestine) are clear well and is a notable example of inefficiency of designs and approaches of America's security in the Levant for maintaining superiority of Israel and its the security. If we consider the facts in the Middle Eastern approaches and strategies of America in the second term of the Obama presidency could lead White House to advance the idea of two states and establishing independent and poor Palestinian state within the West Bank and the Strip Gaza, of course, by ensuring the survival of Israel and with security guarantees about the survival of the regime and lack of return of Palestinian refugees. according to historical records and the effective presence of extremist parties opposed to the idea in Tel Aviv, this will result in paradoxical and even violent behaviors by the regime and it will lead to the escalation of tensions between Washington - Tel Aviv and intensification of the isolation of the Zionist regime in the region and among the world public opinion and public conformity with the legitimate demands of the Palestinian side.
On the other hand, The Palestinian groups with knowledge of the situation have recently turned towards reducing conflicts and increasing cooperation with each other and they have confronted the Arabic countries public welcoming in this way. Support of Hamas from Mahmoud Abbas' action based on improving the position of Palestinian at the level of non-voting observer state at the United Nations is considered a step towards the internal unity of the Palestine. Of course, passing the way has not been so easy and it is not desirable as far as it concerns Israelis side. Perhaps one of the reasons for the approval of Tel Aviv to the return of Khaled Meshaal, the leader and the head of Hamas' political office, to Gaza after 45-years being exiled, is the same concern and trying to avoid the convergence, spread of disputes between Hamas and Fatah and intensification of power struggle between the Gaza District and the West Bank of Jordan River. However, Khaled Meshaal failed Zionists side at the beginning of the speeches and stating his positions on the occasion of the twenty-fifth anniversary of the establishment of Islamic Resistance (Hamas) movement and by confirming by the recent action of Mahmoud Abbas at the United Nations, cleared his positive attitude toward easing tensions with Fatah and interact with the PA.

End of speaking

Summary of raised points leads us to the conclusion that first of all, regional security order is unstable more than past and is in transition, incoherent and frail status, and at least meanwhile we cannot speak about sustainable arrangements. Second, the international character of the Middle East and Levant issues, particularly the Arabic - Zionist conflict causes a multiplicity of players and influential roles of massive actors including world powers to subnational ethnic and religious groups. Most of the competitive patterns, including the classic wars to asymmetrical forces in this region are relevant and applicable. The result is that military superiority of the Zionist regime is weak in front of these patterns and components of soft power of anti-Zionist front are growing and strengthening and for legitimacy, strong social standing in the region and moral support of the world more than past can challenge the hard ware power of Israel and make Zionist regime isolated. It may be necessary to have redefinition of the affecting components and considerations in the security arrangements and geometry of power in the Levant's security system. The funds have been more important soft power. Meanwhile aspects of soft powers have found a great importance and unlike the past, they are no longer only players of those governments. Feasibility and making West-centered plans and approaches operational for regional crisis management have reduced and regional powers such as Iran have shown their effective authority in the eight days war in Gaza. Thus fragility and sliding status of Israel will continue.