Empty Deterrence

Israel's security policy during his lifetime has relied on the concept of deterrence through the threat of severe retaliation, short wars in others' lands, qualitative edge in weaponry
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
Estimated time of study:
author: علی اکبر مظاهری
موارد بیشتر برای شما
Empty Deterrence
  Empty Deterrence

 

Translator: Davood Salehan
Source: rasekhoon.net





 

A glance to Israel's security and defense strategy
Israel's security policy during his lifetime has relied on the concept of deterrence through the threat of severe retaliation, short wars in others' lands, qualitative edge in weaponry and manpower, achievement of maximum self-sufficiency in this field and support of America. Security issues of the regime since its advent include counter-terrorism, fast and accurate determining of the outcome of the war, maintaining credible deterrent, defensive, at the strategic level and not losing any war. In Israel's military doctrine it has been emphasized that this regime can be very small and limited land and most of its strategic centers are in the crosshairs of the enemy. So in case of failure in any war the existence of the Zionist regime is faced with danger. As a result, as the Zionist regime always feels permanent threats against its existence, it has turned on to nuclear deterrent capability. These conditions due to security constraints has caused psychological impact on Israel's political and military elite and a feeling of constant threat from the enemy.
Deterrence is the most important element in maintaining psychological security due to security threats to the Zionist regime. This deterrence relies on psychological strategy and unique nuclear ambiguity. Israel's nuclear deterrence is too vague. This ambiguity is for the enemy of the regime to be in a state of information uncertainty, and as a result, lack of psychological comfort of possible nuclear threats of the regime. Nuclear ambiguity is a fundamental part of Israel's security. However, despite strict censorship on the nuclear program, Israeli leaders expressed their satisfaction about publication of certain information in this regard because publication of such data helps deterrence of the regime, and it makes the Warring States not to think about starting a war with Israel. On the other hand, the existence of nuclear ambiguous power of the Zionist regime not only leads to its security, but it also makes the Arabic countries to be convinced to sign a peace treaty. Various surveys show that the Zionist regime has set its psychological scenario warfare against his enemies based on the following principles:
  Empty Deterrence
(A) The principle of deterrence:
Israel, like most countries, tends to use peaceful means to defend its interests and its security. Rather than fighting with their enemies, it makes them attempt to war with it. Hence, during its life, it has used public and specific deterrence. According to this principle, the Zionist regime is trying to use the mental advertising to show its superiority than its competitors and stop them from possible war. However, it is in a situation that campaign in many cases is groundless; this regardlessness shows itself in advertisings of the regime base on creating the Iron Dome and its impermeability. Unlike the propaganda of the regime, Hezbollah and Hamas' rockets in recent conflicts could easily split the dome and create a big hole in it.
(B) The principle of strategic warning:
According to the first principle, the Zionist regime should have such a military power that the fear of this power make the enemy prevent from taking action. But if this principle is ineffective and a rival power is providing the necessary strength to attempt an attack on Israel, the Israeli intelligence system must be notified in advance and be quickly alerted to surprise enemies strategically with measures such as pre-emptive strike. Zionist regime's psychological threats to attack Iran's nuclear facilities that have been declared by the military and political officials of the regime can be analyzed in this context.
(C) The swift and decisive victory principal:
According to this principle, if military cannot provide deterrence, and information system also fails to warn them in time and prevent the other side's attack by pre-emptive attacks or military action be started as invasion by the Zionist regime; since the regime does not have the possibility to engage in a war of attrition, its military forces should be able to win overwhelmingly and fast. The regime past war experiences also shows this issue. In terms of psychological characteristics, the military of the regime cannot endure long heavy fighting. During Israel's 33-day war against Lebanon, different media spoke of the regime's military morale and mental health problems, while the war lasted only a little over a month. Psychological sense of insecurity has caused that the Zionist regime's officials and strategists be worried of developing countries in the region to have nuclear energy by which they cause disturbance of the balance of power and security of nuclear weapons of this regime because Israel having nuclear arsenals so far has been able to create deterrence against its enemies in the region and even sometimes have made the military threats passive. However, next to hardware deterrence of military forces, they should also have the power of faith and spirituality to deal with the enemy, the power which military of the regime are lacking. If the hardware power is not coupled with the soldiers' morale, hundreds of nuclear warheads will not be able to make deterrence. The experience of wars and victories of Lebanese and Palestinian resistance groups with the most primary military equipment against the regime shows the empty deterrence claimed by Israel. The eight-day war in Gaza is another confirmation on the subject. This war showed that the Zionist regime is so incapacitated that it could not even stand up against short-range 80 kilometers missiles from Gaza. In the process of this war and despite all the efforts of the Zionists in order to strengthen the internal front, the front was very fragile and vulnerable. In fact, although they have carried out numerous training exercises, but after hearing the sirens in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem and even before the firing of rockets by Hamas, people lost their composure and got in chaos. It can be said Hamas' rockets led to lose of public confidence in the leaders of the Zionist regime. Despite the high costs, the regime's missile defense system named "Iron Dome" failed to fully protect the inhabitants of the occupied territories. In fact, this missile defense system is more like a "holed dome" that is not even able to prevent hit of dozens of rockets into Israel. So how can the missile shield prevent the same time hit of thousands of missiles in a possible war?
This fact actually reminds man 41 verse of Surah Ankabut (spider) in the Quran where it calls the house of spider as a home by flimsy foundation.

 



Send Comment
با تشکر، نظر شما پس از بررسی و تایید در سایت قرار خواهد گرفت.
متاسفانه در برقراری ارتباط خطایی رخ داده. لطفاً دوباره تلاش کنید.